Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.187656 0.217536 0.250623 0.289980 0.335527 0.386593 0.448216
2025-08-24 0.142527 0.182796 0.232027 0.296655 0.379316 0.481591 0.617917
2025-08-31 0.116462 0.160169 0.217382 0.297788 0.407989 0.553945 0.762358
2025-09-07 0.099786 0.145285 0.208261 0.301834 0.437532 0.627534 0.914543
2025-09-14 0.084534 0.129311 0.194355 0.295779 0.450240 0.677189 1.037154
2025-09-21 0.073587 0.117652 0.184491 0.293315 0.466470 0.732101 1.172242
2025-09-28 0.065937 0.109764 0.178920 0.296052 0.490039 0.799590 1.333417
2025-10-05 0.062004 0.107154 0.181050 0.310880 0.534025 0.903354 1.564320
2025-10-12 0.057712 0.103290 0.180482 0.320829 0.570576 0.998306 1.790813
2025-10-19 0.053614 0.099174 0.178866 0.328517 0.603685 1.090390 2.022172
2025-10-26 0.049325 0.094142 0.174969 0.331476 0.628330 1.169694 2.238819
2025-11-02 0.044654 0.087807 0.167934 0.327686 0.639802 1.225828 2.417948
2025-11-09 0.039544 0.080113 0.157670 0.316884 0.637300 1.256709 2.554642
2025-11-16 0.037123 0.077431 0.156710 0.324173 0.671076 1.361043 2.849289
2025-11-23 0.034314 0.073600 0.153011 0.325411 0.692601 1.443151 3.107728
2025-11-30 0.032123 0.070783 0.151007 0.329833 0.721037 1.541999 3.412188
2025-12-07 0.029154 0.065932 0.144213 0.323215 0.725051 1.590031 3.612165
2025-12-14 0.026839 0.062246 0.139484 0.320522 0.737237 1.656618 3.860563
2025-12-21 0.025201 0.059896 0.137411 0.323514 0.762438 1.754281 4.190653
2025-12-28 0.024665 0.060036 0.140922 0.339719 0.819832 1.930354 4.723897
2026-01-04 0.023769 0.059213 0.142125 0.350593 0.865815 2.084909 5.223383
2026-01-11 0.022767 0.058014 0.142303 0.358995 0.906727 2.231740 5.720775
2026-01-18 0.021523 0.056068 0.140477 0.362228 0.935188 2.351472 6.163906